Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.680062 0.870015 1.083545 1.338600 1.632221 1.957024 2.340826
2025-08-17 0.394214 0.621595 0.911640 1.296010 1.779444 2.355483 3.081654
2025-08-24 0.257470 0.500977 0.850871 1.357585 2.041014 2.901395 4.036359
2025-08-31 0.156766 0.388122 0.765610 1.361576 2.218014 3.348469 4.896654
2025-09-07 0.106957 0.333315 0.746690 1.446778 2.502924 3.946236 5.976187
2025-09-14 0.069561 0.280947 0.715081 1.501778 2.742542 4.490980 7.007093
2025-09-21 0.042088 0.231130 0.671965 1.526644 2.932872 4.971279 7.965848
2025-09-28 0.021630 0.179303 0.607141 1.500299 3.036042 5.326599 8.760896
2025-10-05 0.011715 0.149231 0.577457 1.528429 3.222086 5.804661 9.737305
2025-10-12 0.005450 0.121581 0.542763 1.539218 3.376237 6.237424 10.658514
2025-10-19 0.001575 0.090623 0.485374 1.493527 3.427725 6.512974 11.358058
2025-10-26 0.000249 0.067503 0.437795 1.457740 3.489492 6.802037 12.080580
2025-11-02 0.000010 0.053241 0.411934 1.466926 3.635177 7.233645 13.035222
2025-11-09 NaN 0.037096 0.366768 1.422464 3.677847 7.502349 13.755017
2025-11-16 NaN 0.032360 0.367193 1.488560 3.931821 8.119557 15.013287
2025-11-23 NaN 0.024452 0.345064 1.493054 4.066505 8.545231 15.989819
2025-11-30 NaN 0.022580 0.355124 1.583912 4.374638 9.265143 17.429638
2025-12-07 NaN 0.019288 0.353569 1.642494 4.620871 9.887755 18.730710
2025-12-14 NaN 0.015153 0.341381 1.668971 4.802976 10.406758 19.880392
2025-12-21 NaN 0.010074 0.312461 1.640971 4.870658 10.732628 20.734673
2025-12-28 NaN 0.007732 0.303425 1.670894 5.059335 11.268627 21.925516
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005490 0.289463 1.682369 5.208339 11.738404 23.018095
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002946 0.259263 1.633783 5.223887 11.975051 23.744337